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Internal migration dynamics of native and foreign workers: an impulse-response analysis of perturbation and resilience by means of a spatial vector autoregressive model

  • Masood Gheasi*
  • , Bo Pieter Johannes Andrée
  • , Peter Nijkamp
  • , Duncan Roth
  • *Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

    Abstract

    Why are certain labour markets more resilient to economic shocks? Why are some economies deeply affected by migration? Modern migration theory remains based on simplistic neo-classical utility maximizing assumptions, despite a failure to fully answer real-world migration questions. The aim of this paper is to show that neo-classical dynamics are differentiated between subpopulations that make up the workforce. Using disaggregated data from Germany and a dynamic spatial vector autoregressive model that allows for spillovers, the paper teases out several aspects of regional labour market resilience. Results highlight that regions stand to benefit from supporting place-specific policies tailored to local circumstances.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)2473-2490
    Number of pages18
    JournalRegional Studies
    Volume57
    Issue number12
    Early online date6 Apr 2023
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2023

    Keywords

    • impulse–response
    • internal migration
    • population movements
    • push and pull factors
    • spatial model
    • spatial resilience
    • spatial vector autoregressive model

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